C3 IN FILE Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
p.
1
Amazon.com: An Empire Stretching from Cardboa
IN FILE
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
1
Amazon.com: An Empire Stretching from Cardboard Box to
Kindle to Cloud1
a draft chapter provided for comment. Will eventually be included in the Summer 2013 version of the award-winning
& low-cost textbook “Information Systems: A Manager’s Guide to Harnessing Technology”.
© Copyright 2013, John M. Gallaugher, Ph.D. – for more info see: http://www.gallaugher.com/
Draft
version
last
modified:
May
3,
2013
–
comments
welcome
john.gallaugher@bc.edu
INTRODUCTION:
LEARNING
OBJECTIVES:
After
studying
this
section
you
should
be
able
to:
1. Appreciate
the
breadth
of
businesses
that
Amazon
competes
in.
2. Understand
that
Amazon’s
financial
performance
has
not
been
consistent.
3. Begin
to
recognize
the
reasons
for
this
performance
inconsistency
and
set
the
stage
for
the
examination
unfolding
in
subsequent
sections.
As
CEO
of
tech
industry
research
firm
Forrester
Research,
George
Colony
is
paid
to
predict
the
future.
Firms
spend
big
bucks
for
Forrester
reports
that
cover
trends
and
insight
across
the
world
of
computing.
So
when
Colony
turned
his
attention
to
Amazon.com,
the
Internet
retailer
founded
by
Jeff
Bezos,
there
were
a
lot
of
people
paying
attention.
Colony
proclaimed
that
the
recently
public
firm
would
soon
be
“Amazon.toast”
as
larger
traditional
retailers
arrived
to
compete
online.1
Colony
wasn’t
the
only
Bezos-‐basher.
Fortune,
The
Guardian,
and
Barron’s
were
among
the
publications
to
have
labeled
the
firm
“Amazon.bomb”.
Bezos’
personal
favorite
came
from
a
pundit
who
suggested
the
firm
should
be
renamed
“Amazon.org”
adopting
the
domain
of
a
non-‐profit
since
it’ll
never
make
any
money2.
Amazon
went
seven
whole
years
without
turning
a
profit,
losing
over
$3
billion
during
that
time.
The
firm’s
stock
price
had
fallen
from
a
high
of
$100
a
share
to
below
$6.
Conventional
wisdom
suggested
that
struggling
dot-‐coms
were
doomed
as
retail
giants
were
poised
to
bring
their
strong
off-‐line
brands
and
logistics
prowess
to
the
Internet,
establishing
themselves
as
multi-‐channel
dominators
standing
athwart
the
bloodied
remains
of
the
foolish
early-‐movers.
But
during
those
seven
years
and
through
to
this
day,
Bezos
(pronounced
BAY-‐zose)
steadfastly
refused
to
concentrate
on
the
quarterly
results
Wall
Street
frets
over.
Instead,
the
Amazon
founder
has
followed
his
best
reckoning
on
where
markets
and
technology
were
headed,
postponing
profit
harvesting
while
expanding
warehousing
capacity,
building
e-‐commerce
operations
worldwide,
growing
one
of
the
net’s
most
widely-‐used
cloud
computing
platforms,
leading
the
pack
in
eBook
readers,
and
developing
the
first
credible
threat
to
Apple’s
dominant
iPad
in
tablets.
1
Faculty:
I’ll
post
my
personal
slides
online
at
gallaugher.com,
but
there
is
also
a
wonderful
deck
by
FaberNovel
that
covers
much
of
the
content
in
this
case.
You
can
find
it
at:
http://www.fabernovel.com/en/works/97-‐amazon-‐com-‐the-‐hidden-‐empire
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
2
Tellingly,
Amazon’s
first
profit
was
posted
the
week
one-‐time
brick-‐and-‐mortar
goliath
Kmart
went
bankrupt.
Kmart
was
also
the
former
parent
of
another
giant
of
the
offline
world,
Borders,
a
firm
that
completely
shuttered
in
the
wake
of
Amazon’s
dominance.
And
for
Amazon,
profits
continued.
In
a
three-‐year
period
following
the
introduction
of
the
Kindle,
Amazon’s
net
income
climbed
from
$476
million
to
$1.15
billion.
Barnes
&
Noble’s
fell
from
$150
million
to
$37
million
before
dipping
into
the
red.
Punditry
is
a
dangerous
business,
but
Barron’s
made
up
for
the
dot-‐bomb
comment,
putting
Amazon
on
its
cover
under
a
headline
proclaiming
the
firm
the
world’s
best
retailer.
Fortune
atoned
by
naming
Bezos
the
“Businessperson
of
the
Year”3.
Amazon’s
future
continues
to
be
hotly
debated
as
the
firm’s
profitability
swings
wildly.
Massive
investments
crushed
Amazon
profits
in
2012,
with
the
firm
dipping
$39
million
into
the
red.
Yet
stock
performance
during
this
period
suggests
Wall
Street
expects
a
huge
upside.
And
Amazon
was
recently
named
as
having
the
“Best
Reputation
of
any
US
corporation.”4
So
is
Amazon
the
“unstoppable
monster
of
the
tech
industry”
or
a
“charitable
organization
run
by
elements
of
the
investment
community
for
the
benefit
of
customers”5?
Both?
Neither?
SIDEBAR: Jeff Bezos & the Long Term (in his own words and more)
“Our first shareholder letter, in 1997, was entitled, “It’s all about the long term.” If everything you do
needs to work on a three-year time horizon, then you’re competing against a lot of people. But if you’re
willing to invest on a seven-year time horizon, you’re now competing against a fraction of those people,
because very few companies are willing to do that. Just by lengthening the time horizon, you can
engage in endeavors that you could never otherwise pursue. At Amazon we like things to work in five to
seven years. We’re willing to plant seeds, let them grow—and we’re very stubborn. We say we’re
stubborn on vision and flexible on details.”6
Just how far ahead is Bezos’ time horizon? His personal investments include Blue Origin, a commercial
rocketry and aviation firm that intends to send humans into space. Bezos has also built a 10,000 year
clock deep inside a mountain on his ranch in West Texas. The timepiece plays an elaborate cuckoo-
like sequence, composed by musician Brian Eno, to mark every year, decade, century, millennium and
10 millennia. How’s that for a symbol of long-term thinking!7
Why
Study
Amazon.com?
Looking
at
the
Internet’s
largest
retailer
provides
a
context
for
introducing
several
critical
management
concepts
such
as
cash
efficiency
and
channel
conflict.
We
see
ways
in
which
tech-‐fueled
operations
can
yield
above-‐average
profits
far
greater
than
off-‐line
players.
We
can
illustrate
advantages
related
to
scale,
the
data
asset,
and
the
brand-‐building
benefits
of
personalization
and
other
customer
service
enhancements.
Amazon’s
Kindle
business
allows
us
to
look
into
the
importance
of
mobile
computing
as
a
vehicle
for
media
consumption,
a
distribution
channel
for
increased
sales
and
advertising,
a
creator
of
switching
costs,
a
gathering
point
for
powerful
data,
and
in
competition
for
platform
dominance.
And
the
firm’s
AWS
(Amazon
Web
Services)
business
allows
us
to
see
how
the
firm
is
building
a
powerhouse
cloud
provider,
generating
new
competitive
assets
while
engaging
in
competition
where
it
sells
services
to
firms
that
can
also
be
considered
rivals.
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
3
KEY
TAKEAWAYS:
• Amazon
is
the
largest
online
retailer,
and
has
expanded
to
dozens
of
categories
beyond
books.
As
much
of
the
firm’s
media
business
(books,
music,
video)
becomes
digital,
the
Kindle
business
is
a
conduit
for
retaining
existing
businesses
and
for
growing
additional
advantages.
And
the
firm’s
AWS
cloud
computing
business
is
one
of
the
largest
players
in
that
category.
• Amazon
takes
a
relatively
long-‐view
with
respect
to
investing
in
initiatives
and
its
commitment
to
grow
profitable
businesses.
The
roughly
seven-‐year
timeline
is
a
difficult
one
for
public
companies
to
maintain
amid
the
pressure
for
consistent
quarterly
profits.
• Amazon’s
profitability
has
varied
widely
and
analysts
continue
to
struggle
to
interpret
the
firm’s
future.
However,
studying
Amazon
will
reveal
important
concepts
and
issues
related
to
business
and
technology.
QUESTIONS
&
EXERCISES:
1. Which
firms
does
Amazon
compete
with?
2. Investigate
Amazon’s
performance
over
the
last
five
years.
How
has
the
firm
done
with
respect
to
revenue,
net
income,
share
price?
How
does
this
compare
with
competitors
you’ve
mentioned
above?
3. What
are
some
of
the
advantages
in
having
a
longer
time
horizon?
What
are
some
of
the
challenges?
What
needs
to
happen
to
enable
Amazon
to
continue
to
‘think
long
term’?
What
could
derail
this
approach?
THE
EMPEROR
OF
E-‐COMMERCE:
LEARNING
OBJECTIVES:
After
studying
this
section
you
should
be
able
to:
1. Recognize
how
Amazon’s
warehouse
technology
and
systems
are
designed
to
quickly
and
cost-‐effectively
get
product
from
suppliers
to
customers
with
a
minimum
of
error.
2. Understand
how
high
inventory
turns
and
longer
accounts
payable
periods
help
fuel
a
negative
cash
conversion
cycle
at
Amazon,
and
why
this
is
a
good
thing.
3. Gain
insight
into
various
advantages
that
result
from
the
firm’s
scale
and
cost
structure.
4. Appreciate
how
data
can
drive
advantages
not
fully
available
to
off-‐line
firms,
ranging
from
increased
personalization
to
innovation
and
service
improvements.
5. Identify
the
two-‐sides
in
Amazon
Marketplace
network
effects,
and
why
this
is
important
in
strengthening
the
firm’s
brand.
6. Appreciate
how
mobile
access
is
influencing
opportunities
through
additional
changes
in
how,
where,
and
when
consumers
shop.
Amazon
got
its
start
selling
books
online.
The
firm’s
first
office
was
in
a
modest
space
boasting
a
then
appealing
400
square
foot
basement
warehouse
in
a
low-‐rent
area
of
Seattle,
where
neighboring
establishments
included
the
local
needle
exchange,
a
pawn
shop,
and
“WigLand.”8
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
4
Today
the
firm
is
decidedly
larger.
Its
ninety
plus
distribution
centers
worldwide
boast
well
over
26
million
square
feet
of
warehouse
space.
9
And
Amazon
is
now
the
world’s
largest
online
retailer
in
dozens
of
categories.
The
stylized
smile
in
the
Amazon
logo
doubles
as
an
arrow
pointing
from
A
to
Z
(as
in
“we
carry
everything
from…”).
A
new
downtown
Seattle
headquarters
will
take
up
three
full
city
blocks
anchored
by
three
signature
office
towers.
How
does
a
firm
that
sells
products
that
pretty
much
any
other
retailer
can
provide,
grow
and
create
competitive
advantages
that
keep
rivals
at
bay?
Look
to
the
napkin
–
Amazon’s
headquarters
lobby
sports
the
framed
vision
scribbled
out
by
Amazon’s
chief
(see
below).
Figure X: Amazon’s “Wheel of Growth”, adapted from a Jeff Bezos napkin scribble (note: publisher needs to
see if permission for use is required/can be obtained – has been widely shown in Amazon Investor Relations
slides & reprinted in the media.
At
the
heart
are
three
pillars
of
Amazon’s
business:
large
selection,
convenience,
and
lower
prices.
Says
Bezos
“I
always
get
the
question,
what’s
going
to
change
in
10
years?
I
almost
never
get
asked,
what’s
NOT
going
to
change
in
the
next
10
years?
That’s
the
more
important
question,
because
you
can
build
a
business
around
things
that
are
stable.
[Things
like]
low
prices…
faster
delivery[offering
customer
convenience].
Vast
selection.”10
The
three
pillars
of
selection,
convenience,
and
low
prices
reinforce
one
another
and
work
together
to
create
several
additional
assets
for
competitive
advantage.
Exceptional
customer
experience
fuels
a
strong
brand
that
makes
Amazon
the
first
place
most
consumers
shop
online.
More
customers
allow
the
firm
to
provide
more
products,
creating
scale.
Amazon
also
opens
its
website
up
to
third-‐party
sellers
–
and
a
dynamic
where
more
customers
attract
more
sellers
which
attract
still
more
customers
(and
so
on).
That
virtuous
cycle
of
buyer-‐seller
growth
is
a
two-‐sided
network
effect,
yet
another
source
of
competitive
advantage.
And
all
this
activity
allows
Bezos
and
Company
to
further
sharpen
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
5
the
business
battle
sword
by
gathering
an
immensely
valuable
data
asset.
Each
digital
movement
is
logged,
and
the
firm
is
constantly
analyzing
what
users
respond
to
in
order
to
further
fine-‐tune
the
customer
experience,
squeeze
out
costs,
and
drive
profits.
Let’s
look
at
each
of
these
items
and
see
how
Amazon’s
bold
tech-‐based
strategy
is
realizing
additional
advantages
in
the
domain
of
marketing,
accounting,
and
operations.
Fulfillment
Operations
–
Driving
Selection,
Customer
Convenience,
and
Low-‐Price
Amazon
has
always
sold
direct
to
consumers,
but
it
didn’t
always
do
this
well.
The
firm’s
early
warehousing
was
a
shambles
of
inefficient,
money-‐burning
processes.
Said
one
analyst,
Amazon’s
“inventory,
and
warehouse
operating
costs,
[were]
so
high
they
made
old-‐fashioned
retailers
look
efficient.”11
The
situation
was
once
so
bad
that
in
order
to
stay
in
business
Amazon
had
to
issue
more
than
$2
billion
in
bonds.
To
fix
the
problem,
Amazon
looked
to
others
for
talent,
hiring
away
both
the
Chief
Information
Officer
(CIO)
and
Chief
Logistics
Officer
from
the
world’s
largest
retailer,
Walmart
(Walmart
sued,
the
two
eventually
settled
out
of
court).
But
raiding
Walmart’s
talent
pool
wasn’t
enough.
Amazon’s
warehouse
and
technology
infrastructure
is
radically
different
than
any
conventional
retailer.
While
Walmart
warehouses
that
support
its
superstores
ship
large
pallets
of
diapers
to
thousands
of
its
retail
locations,
Amazon
warehouses
pick
and
pack
boxes
of
disparate
individual
items,
sending
packages
to
millions
of
homes.
To
build
a
system
that
worked,
Amazon
focused
on
costs,
data,
and
processes
so
that
it
could
figure
out
what
was
wrong
and
how
it
could
improve.
One
effort,
“Get
the
C.R.A.P.
out”
focused
on
products
that
“Can’t
Realize
Any
Profits”.
The
firm’s
Senior
Vice
President
of
North
American
Operations
recalls
visiting
a
Kentucky
warehouse
and
watching
a
staffer
spend
20
minutes
packaging
up
a
folding
chair
–
a
process
way
too
inefficient
for
a
firm
with
razor-‐thin
margins.
To
fix
the
situation,
Amazon
worked
with
the
vendor
to
get
chairs
in
pre-‐packaged,
read-‐to-‐ship
boxes,
keeping
the
product
while
cleaving
costs.12
In
order
to
automate
profit-‐pushing
hyper-‐efficiency,
Amazon
warehouses
are
powered
by
at
least
as
much
code
as
the
firm’s
website13
–
nearly
all
of
it
home-‐grown.14
Technology
lets
a
given
Amazon
warehouse
send
out
over
2
million
packages
a
week
during
the
holiday
season,
all
without
elves
or
flying
reindeer.15
The
firm’s
larger
warehouses
are
upwards
of
a
quarter-‐mile
in
length
and
are
packed
with
shelves
stacked
five
or
more
rows
high.
Technology
choreographs
hundreds
of
workers
in
what
seems
part
symphony,
part
sprint.
When
suppliers
ship
new
products
to
Amazon,
items
are
scanned
and
prepped
for
order
within
hours
of
arrival.
Dozens
of
workers
examine
the
incoming
shipments
for
defects.
If
a
problem
is
spotted
in
the
receiving
area,
the
staffer
flips
an
adjacent
warning
light
from
green
to
red,
signaling
a
warehouse
‘problem
solver’
to
swoop
in,
deal
with
the
issue,
and
make
sure
additional
items
can
keep
on
flowing
in.16
Amazon’s
items
that
produce
the
most
sales
volume
(think
bestselling
books,
Kindles)
aren’t
even
stocked
on
proper
shelves,
instead
pallets
of
goods
are
dropped
in
an
area
called
‘mass
land’
for
fast
pick-‐up
that
doesn’t
require
scurrying
through
a
maze
of
shelves.
Gallaugher
–
Information
Security
–
http://gallaugher.com/chapters
p.
6
Slower-‐moving
items
are
racked
up
by
‘shelvers’,
who
place
items
in
available
spaces.
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